Monday, June 29, 2015

BBS Ai


BBS Ai

Introduction

There is no remaining evidence that Et-Tell ever was the biblical Ai.  Neither Garstang’s date, nor Albright’s opinion can be sustained.  The site is simply not in existence in 1406.  Since both Jericho and Hazor have been shown to be compatible with a 1406 Exodus, a new location must be sought for Ai.  The other commentary included in this segment consists mostly of irrelevancies: the topic of discussion was Ai, and The Bible’s Buried Secrets (BBS) should have stuck with Ai.  Asserting manufactured dates for Jericho and Hazor does not help BBS claims.  The introduction of other city-states is premature and belongs with Ben-Tor’s introduction of the Israelite house, in the middle of Finkelstein’s Hypothesis.  The analysis of Hazor’s upper and lower cities belonged with Hazor.  The net result of this irrelevant jumping around with subject matter leads to an erroneous conclusion.  There is nothing here that suggests that the Israelites were ever lost; or that their history was every anything but precise.

Script[1]

Ai (time 29:20)

N: And there’s another Canaanite city-state that Joshua and his army of Israelites are credited with laying waste.  It’s called Ai, and has been discovered[2] in what is now the Palestinian territory of the west bank.  Here archaeologist Hani Nur El-Din[3] and his team are finding evidence of a rich Canaanite culture.

El-Din: The village at first appears, and develops the city, and then there was a kind of fortification surrounding this settlement.

N: These pieces of stones were once the magnificent palace and temples that were eventually destroyed; but when the archaeologists date the destruction they discover it occurred about 2200 BC.[4]  They date the destruction of Jericho to 1500 BC, and Hazor’s to about 1250 BC.[5]  Clearly these city-states were not destroyed at the same time.  They range over nearly a thousand years.  In fact, of the thirty-one sites the Bible says that Joshua conquered, few showed any signs of war.[6]

Dever: There was no evidence of armed conflict in most of these sites.  At the same time it was discovered that most of the large Canaanite towns that were supposed to have been destroyed by these Israelites, were either not destroyed at all, or were destroyed by another.[7]

N: A single sweeping military invasion led by Joshua cannot account for how the Israelites arrived in Canaan.[8]  But the destruction of Hazor does coincide with the time that the Merneptah Stele locates the Israelites in Canaan.[9]  So who destroyed Hazor?  Amnon Ben-Tor still believes it was the Israelites who destroyed the city.  But his co-director Sharon Zuckerman has a different idea.

Zuckerman: The final destruction itself consisted of the mutilation of statues of kings and gods.  It did not consist of signs of war or any kind of fighting, we don’t see weapons in the streets like we see in other sites….[10]

N: So if there was no invasion, what happened?[11]  Excavations reveal that Hazor had a lower city of commoners, serfs, and slaves, and an upper city with a king and wealthy elites.  Zuckerman finds within the grand palaces of elite Hazor areas of disrepair, and abandonment.  To archaeologists, signs of a culture in decline, and rebellion from within.[12]

Zuckerman: I would not rule out the possibility of an internal revolt of Canaanites living at Hazor and a revolting against the….[13]

N: In fact, the entire Canaanite city-state system, including Hazor and Jericho breaks down.[14]  Archaeology and ancient texts[15] clearly show that it is the result of a long period of decline and upheaval that sweep through Mesopotamia, the Aegean region, and the Egyptian Empire around 1200 BC.[16]

Machinist: And when the dust, as it were, settled, when we can begin to see what takes the place of this great state system, we find a number of new people, suddenly coming into focus, in a kind of void that is created with the dissolution of the great state system.[17]

N: Can archaeologists find the Israelites among these new people?[18]

Commentary

Ai[19] is indeed located on the western bank according to the biblical record.  We cannot be certain that Ai actually corresponds to Et-Tell[20] at all.  Dr. Bryant G. Wood[21] has proposed that Khirbet el-Maqatir be considered as an alternative location.[22]  No one can easily claim that the location of Ai is not contested.

“The site of et-Tell (Arabic for "the ruin-heap") is about 3 km east of the modern village of Beitin (Bethel), atop a watershed plateau overlooking the Jordan Valley and the city of Jericho 14 km east.”[23]

A distance of 3 km is a little less than 2 miles; 14 km is a little more than 8.5 miles.  The key phrase that should catch our attention is “atop a watershed plateau.”  The Jordan River falls from an elevation of 686 feet below sea level at Galilee to 1,407 feet below sea level at the Dead Sea, a drop of 721 feet in a distance of [24] seventy-five miles, with a nine mile width.  It is difficult to believe that this valley does not become a raging torrent from time to time.[25]

We believe that this valley is prone to sudden flooding, as well as mud and rock slides.[26]  Although we were unable to find sufficient support for this idea.  The terrain seems right for flooding and slides, but the rainfall appears to be too slight to produce them frequently.[27]

Et-Tell

The identification of Et-Tell as the biblical Ai rests on the opinions of Edward Robinson (1838)[28], Charles Wilson (1866)[29], and William Foxwell Albright (1924)[30].  These opinions may amount to nothing more than proposals for a working hypothesis that needs to be tested against fact: words like “suggested” are easily overlooked in such a context.  Ostensibly, Et-Tell is unoccupied in the late Bronze Age and Early Iron Age for a period of over 1000 years.  When we search for additional, more specific information on dating, there is no reference to pottery; and more especially, any reference to 14C: there is no reference to any specific dating information or method.  In fact, it doesn’t even appear that Ai (Et-Tell) was in existence at all during the late Bronze Age and Early Iron Age.  It was, as the name suggests, a trash dump.  This means that it cannot possibly be the site of Joshua’s battle in or shortly after 1406.[31]

Evidently John Garstang[32] began the excavation of Et-Tell in 1928.  This makes the identification of Et-Tell by Robinson and Wilson, nothing more than subjective suggestions and wishes: for both were offered long before Garstang began.  Garstang employed trench archaeology, rather than more careful square and area methods.  Garstang dates the city to 1400 based on pottery that cannot be proved to ever be in existence.[33]

Judith Marquet-Krause also excavated only the “upper region of the mound and exposed regions of the acropolis and a village” at Et-Tell (1933-1936) and identified an Iron Age village: much too late to be useful, and not specifically dated, with no methodology specified.  So now we are confronted with two excavations and no real results.[34]

A third, more thorough excavation was conducted by the American Schools of Oriental Research (1964-1970) with these results dated by pottery:

  • EBI, Pre-Urban phase (circa 3200-3100).
  • EBI, Urban A phase (circa 3100, burned in 2950/2860).
  • EBII, Urban B phase (circa 2950/2860, burned in 2720: 14C).
  • EBIII, Urban C phase (circa 2700/2680, destroyed in 2400).
  • Abandonment phase (circa 2400-1200)[35]

Neither the BBS discussion nor the El-Din excavation adds anything to this discussion.  The dating again hangs on some uncertain pottery dating and the only 14C level comparable with Jericho and Hazor is Urban B, which must also have some sort of “wiggle” analysis applied, so at a minimum error 2720 ± 200, or 2920-2520.  The description indicates the complete absence of any evidence for any occupied site from 2400 to 1200.  Only one conclusion is possible.  The Et-Tell dating is not compatible with either Jericho or Hazor or a 1406 conquest.  Et-Tell cannot be the site of biblical Ai.  The facts show that Albright erred in his opinion based on location.  The site may have been washed away by flooding, but no evidence for this is reported; one possible conclusion remains; this is the wrong site!

Khirbet el-Maqatir

Clearly an alternate site must be located.  Et-Tell may remain an excavation of interest, but not as the biblical Ai, unless it can be established that the city evidence from 2400 to 1200 was washed away by flood.  This necessitates the quest for and an alternate site.  At this time only Khirbet el-Maqatir[36] has been proposed by Wood.  We have insufficient information to explore this alternative more thoroughly.

Conclusion

There is no remaining evidence that Et-Tell ever was the biblical Ai.  Neither Garstang’s date, nor Albright’s opinion can be sustained.  The site is simply not in existence in 1406.  Since both Jericho and Hazor have been shown to be compatible with a 1406 Exodus, a new location must be sought for Ai.  The other commentary included in this segment consists mostly of irrelevancies: the topic of discussion was Ai, and BBS should have stuck with Ai.  Asserting manufactured dates for Jericho and Hazor does not help BBS claims.  The introduction of other city-states is premature and belongs with Ben-Tor’s introduction of the Israelite house, in the middle of Finkelstein’s Hypothesis.  The analysis of Hazor’s upper and lower cities belonged with Hazor.  The net result of this irrelevant jumping around with subject matter leads to an erroneous conclusion.  There is nothing here that suggests that the Israelites were ever lost; or that their history was every anything but precise.




[1] What is for the most part an exact copy of the script follows.  There are a few places where individual speakers could neither be heard nor understood: for this we apologize.  Every effort was made to be precise: there were just spots that defeated us.  Since this is a quote in its entirety it seemed unnecessary to mark it with quotation marks.  The notation for each speaker is tedious enough: Narrator, Reader, etc.  If you discover bothersome errors please reply to this Blog and point them out.  You may verify the script more easily by starting to replay it where the “time” stamps indicate discussion begins.  The second of these links is free from advertising and thus easier to use.
This blog is found at:
http://swantec-oti.blogspot.com/
[2] Note that the false claim for the certainty of the discovery of Ai rests on blind fiat alone.  That which is most certainly nothing more than subjective opinion alone, is served up for us as fact, without so much as even honoring us with the names of scholars who may have once held such opinions.  It must be true because BBS claims that it is true.
[3] Hani Nur El-Din, Al Quds University, no other bibliography.
[4] No declaration of the dating method is given.  The date offered is 794 to 804 years too premature for Joshua, possibly because the 1406-1396 layer had washed away, or they dug through it without recognizing it, or this is not the site of Ai at all.  In a site as exposed to water erosion as Ai, where at least one instance of floods carrying landslides into and damning the Jordan has thought to have occurred (this is one humanistic and naturalistic pseudo-explanation of the dry-river Jordan crossing under Joshua), we must always consider the possibility that flood erosion has washed the evidence away.  Is Joshua (the book) false?  There is no proof for that conclusion.  This Ai better fits the Battle of Four Kings Against Five (circa 1876, Genesis 14:9): however, such an admission would bring historical credibility to the life of Abraham and the record of Genesis.
[5] Clearly this is a false statement.  Based on only eighteen samples, we recalculated the original data for Jericho to an overall average of 3363 ± 19.  At a 95% confidence, this yields an interval of 3401-3325.  When “wiggle” calibration is applied the numbers become 3801-3325, with a mean of 3563.  Calculating from the standard 1950 base, we arrive at 1851-1375, with a mean date of 1613.  Since statistical averaging was used to arrive at this conclusion, a 1406 date for the Exodus falls within this interval, and there is no statistical reason to exclude the biblical date at Jericho.  Moreover, strata above the specimen find would still be later, and no final conclusion may be reached concerning Jericho.
Although the data from Hazor were not disclosed a date of 1450 ± 200, was reached, yielding a 1650-1250 or larger interval.  Since the intervals 1851-1375 and 1650-1250 overlap, both intervals including the time span 1406-1396, no adverse statistical conclusions may be drawn.  Both Jericho and Hazor may very well be the exact sites engaged by Joshua.  Clearly these city-states may well have been destroyed at the same time, easily within ten years of each other.  The clearly errant 1250 date for Hazor is a relic left over from the delusion of clinging to a Ramesside Exodus theory.
[6] Nor should we expect to find signs of war.  Major battles were all fought outside of and away from cities.  Siege tactics were rarely employed in this period.  By the way, since the claim has been made, where is the archaeological evidence for such a claim?  Since archaeological evidence has not been provided it is reasonable to conclude that it does not exist.  The primary evidence for the absence of internal city war is the biblical record.
[7] Dever leads with another false assumption.  According to the clear record, the majority of all battles were fought outside of cities.  Ai was engaged in the external fields.  Both the Amorite and the Canaanite Coalitions, engaged the Israelites at battle fields of their choosing.  Cities were entered only after the armies were defeated: the only combat defenses would have been mounted by minority or reserve units and civilians.  The reason that, “There was no evidence of armed conflict in most of these sites,” was clearly because no armed conflict actually took place within these sites.  These were not examples of siege warfare.  The destruction of cities was a relatively rare occurrence under Joshua.  Buildings were not blamed for the evil actions and intentions of people.
[8] “A single sweeping military invasion led by Joshua cannot account for how the Israelites arrived in Canaan,” because there was no single sweeping military invasion.  Rather a stepped sequence of events played out: a Central Campaign concluding with the establishment of a permanent worship center at Ebal, and a peace treaty with Gibeon came first.  Gibeon established the timing for the treaty.  Then the Amorite Coalition set the time and place for the Southern Campaign.  Finally the Canaanite Coalition set the time and place for the Northern Campaign, afterward.  The Gibeonites sued for peace.  The Amorites and Canaanites chose war.
[9] These dates are not close to being coincident.  Hazor dates to 1450.  Merneptah dates to 1208.  To what sort of coincidence does a difference of 242 years amount.  How does this discredit the biblical account where the divergence of data is at most 54 years?
[10] We don’t see “signs of war” because the war was conducted on a large flat plain suitable for deploying chariots (Joshua 11:4-5).  The place of battle is explicitly stated to be “the waters of Merom” not Hazor.  We refuted the Zuckerman hypothesis in the Hazor blog.  It is becoming tedious to be forced to refute this oft repeated lie.  The frequent repetition of a lie can never make it true.
[11] The logical fallacy of assuming the conclusion without demonstration is called “begging the question.”
[12] This discussion belongs with the earlier discussion concerning Hazor.
[13] This is exactly what we must rule out.  It makes no sense whatsoever that the residents of Hazor set their own city on fire.  They may not have loved their rulers dwelling in relative luxury in the upper city, but their safety, security, and livelihood depended on them.  Without the power of the upper city, the lower city is exposed to every wandering horde of random invaders.  It is the upper city that maintains peace.  Everyone knew that setting fire to the upper city, could easily spread to the lower city.  At this era of world civilizations, no one has the means to contain fire, or to put it out.  A conflagration risks death to everybody concerned.  The claim, especially without specific proof, does not hold water.  The claim is deliberately set against such strong evidence from provenance that we already have.
[14] All of such claims are made without evidence.  They are to be believed simply because BBS says so.
[15] The only such texts that we are able to identify are the books of Judges and 1 Samuel.
[16] Which is a nearly perfect summary of the record of Judges from 1396 to 1010.  As far as the first battle of Hazor is concerned, 1200 is two-hundred years too late to fit the Hazor data.  As far as the second battle of Hazor is concerned, the fit is nearly perfect for a 1200 date, for which there is no supporting archaeological evidence yet identified at Hazor.  The second battle of Hazor was also conducted in the field.  As soon as a pseudo-conflation is manufactured, false conclusions surface, conclusions that are impossible to reconcile with reality.
The claim of, “a long period of decline and upheaval that sweep through Mesopotamia, the Aegean region, and the Egyptian Empire around 1200 BC,” is stated without supporting evidence.  It would be nice to have some supporting evidence, if such a claim is close to being a realistic picture.
[17] The case is being developed for the claim that the Israelites are a rebelling indigenous Canaanite people, and not an invading horde.  However, as we have seen, the case is being developed without evidence.  The evidence that does exist, clearly refutes this claim.
There is no void.  The Canaanites hold a balanced tension of power throughout the period (1396-1010) until the Philistines begin to dominate the region (possibly 1106-1010).  The period is one described as “up and down” for both Canaanites and Israelites as the balance of power sways back and forth.  The Israelites made themselves look like Canaanites by trying to mix Yahweh with foreign idols during this period.
[18] Again the conclusion is assumed.  The Israelites never were lost.  This is the desperate effort of someone attempting to establish a theory for which there is no evidence.
[19] The summary of the biblical account given in this article is a bit fanciful.  There is no record of impaling the king of Ai, only hanging.  The article assumes a 2400 date for destruction by Egyptians; yet, no dating evidence is provided, nor is a record for Egyptian involvement in the region brought forth.
[29] This must refer to Charles William Wilson (1836-1905) and not to Charles Henry Wilson (1914-1991), whose dates cannot possibly be made to fit.
[30] William Foxwell Albright (1891-1971)
[31] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ai_(Bible)
[34] ibid
[35] ibid
[37] If you have been blessed or helped by any of these meditations, please repost, share, or use any of them as you wish.  No rights are reserved.  They are designed and intended for your free participation.  They were freely received, and are freely given.  No other permission is required for their use.

Friday, June 26, 2015

BBS Hazor


BBS Hazor

Introduction

Why was such a supporting mass of information avoided or swept under the table?  There is no dispute over the facts as stated.  Ben-Tor’s logic is hard to refute.  So why is the battle described as blitzkrieg and posed out of reported chronological sequence?  If real evidence exists in the 14C dating of charred wheat for charred walls at Hazor, why not bring it out in the interests of science?  We have showed that the idea of blitzkrieg is an insulting caricature of the Israelites.  We have showed that the charred wheat does not establish the absence of Joshua at Hazor.  We have showed that both the Southern Campaign and the Northern Campaign were initiated by massive Amorite and Canaanite coalitions, and not by Joshua.  These coalitions freely chose to opt for war, rather than to sue for peace.  We have showed that while Joshua’s campaigns were very effective, they in no way represent a total annihilation of enemy forces: their focus is limited to thirty-one kings and their pivotal city-states.

Script[1]

Hazor (time 27:10)

And if what the Bible describes as the greatest of all Canaanite cities, Hazor[2] there is more evidence of destruction.  Today, Hazor is being excavated by one of the leading Israeli archaeologists, Amnon Ben-Tor,[3] and his protégé and co-director Sharon Zuckerman[4].

Ben-Tor: I’m walking through a passage between two of the rooms of the Canaanite palace of the kings of Hazor.  Signs of the destruction you can still see almost everywhere.  You can see the dark stones here, and most importantly you can see how they cracked into a million pieces.  It takes tremendous heat to cause such damage.  The fire here was, I shall say, the mother of all fires.

N: Among the ashes, Ben-Tor discovered a desecrated statue, most likely the king or patron god of Hazor.  Its head and hands are cut off, apparently by the city’s conquerors.  This marked the end of Canaanite Hazor.

Question number one, who did it?  Who was around?  Who is a possible candidate?  Well, number one, the Egyptians.  They don’t mention having done anything in Hazor in any of the inscriptions of the time of Hazor.  Another Canaanite city-state could have done it, maybe?  But who was strong enough to do it?  Who are we left with?  The Israelites, the only ones involved who there is a tradition, they did it.  So let’s say they should be considered guilty of the destruction of Hazor until proven innocent.[5]

Blitzkrieg

The real purpose, in The Bible’s Buried Secrets (BBS) chain of logic, for introducing Hazor outside of its historic sequence, is to continue the development of the idea of blitzkrieg introduced in the BBS Jericho discussion.[6]  By presenting a “straw man” caricature of Joshua’s campaigns, BBS hopes to show that Joshua never existed.  Eventually, in this chain of logic, Zuckerman’s voice will be raised against her mentor Ben-Tor, in order to make him seem like an unscientific old man.  Then the weight of Finkelstein’s “evidence” will be brought to bear.  At which point the proof that there is no historical Moses, Joshua, Exodus, Conquest, or even period of Judges will be complete: or so BBS will claim.  There is only an idealistic, idealized, and imaginary Moses, Joshua, and the like: according to BBS.

We have everywhere showed that this chain of logic is severely flawed and, thus far, without any evidence.  No one debates the destruction of Hazor, or its degree of severity: it is plainly there for all to see.  But, the dating and interpretation of such destruction is clearly up for dispute.  So this is what we shall bring to the table and dispute.

There is no blitzkrieg by any dating or interpretation, so the false claim of blitzkrieg will fail in spite of other logical outcomes.  Thus, the chain of logic that attempts to prove that neither Moses nor Joshua, nor any of their acts ever existed in history; that chain of logic is broken.

Campaigns

In 1406 the Israelites entered Jericho; all the people were executed except for Rahab and her family; finally the city was burned with fire.[7]  After a first defeat at Ai, the battle was set in array in an ambush outside of the city; the city was entered and burned; the combatants were executed; finally all the other inhabitants were slain.[8]  After Ai, Joshua established a worship center at Ebal[9] which will remain the Israelite worship center until Yahweh defects to the Philistines[10] and David restores the Ark to Jerusalem.[11]  At this point Joshua returned to Gilgal[12] where he made an alliance with the city-state Gibeon, without any battle or destruction.[13]  This sequence of events constitutes Joshua’s Central Campaign.

After or even because of Gibeon, Joshua was compelled to face the Amorite Coalition, engaging their armies: Jerusalem, Hebron, Jarmuth, Lachish, and Eglon.[14]  Finally, Joshua continues to the south, engaging their city-states: Makkedah,[15] Libnah,[16] Lachish,[17] Gezer,[18] Eglon,[19] Hebron,[20] Debir,[21] from Kadeshbarnea to Gaza, from Goshen to Gibeon.[22]  Then Joshua and the Israelite armies returned to Gilgal a second time.[23]  These battles conclude Joshua’s Southern Campaign.

Joshua did not, at this time and without provocation, unilaterally launch his Northern Campaign against the Canaanite Coalition: Hazor, Madon, Shimron, Achshaph, the northern mountains, the southern plains, Chinneroth, the valley, Dor to the west, the Canaanites on the east and on the west; as well as other enemy allied states: the Amorites, Hittites, Perizzites, Jebusites, and Hivites,[24] all in league with Hazor.

Caricature

These campaigns have been caricatured as a blitzkrieg.  It is not only insulting to compare Israelites with Nazis, it is a rather anti-Semitic claim; it is also grossly untrue.  Joshua caries out his campaigns at a rather leisurely pace, all things considered.  After Ai, he pauses to establish a center for worship.  He make allies.  He returns to camp.  He does not initiate either the Southern Campaign or the Northern Campaign.  All of the city-states involved knew of Joshua’s alliance with Gibeon; all had an opportunity to sue for peace; all chose war as their preference.  Joshua does not begin the Southern Campaign until the Amorite Coalition attacks his allies at Gibeon.  Now, he has no choice but to fight.  Joshua does not begin the Northern Campaign until the Canaanite Coalition is arrayed against him.  Again, he has no choice but to fight.  These massive coalitions could have sued for peace; yet, they did not.

Neither was Joshua a wanton destroyer.  He evidently only used fire as a means of suppressing further combat.  The list of cities that Joshua burned includes Jericho, Ai, and Hazor.  Other cities were not burned.[25]

Effectivity

It is easy to overstate the effectiveness of Joshua’s campaigns.  They were effective: they destroyed the armed combatants that they engaged, and the city-states that they faced.  They did not destroy the armed combatants that fled from the battle, the reserves that never entered battle, or the non-combatants that went into hiding.  They did not engage enemy allies such as Egypt to the south, or Amorites, Hittites, Perizzites, Jebusites, and Hivites to the north; not in their power centers.  Only those specific units which were sent into battle were engaged.

The survivors, together with the supporting enemy allied states constitute a massive body, easily able to regroup, rebuild, rearm, and repopulate in the vacuum left as Joshua returned to Gilgal, leaving no armies of occupation behind.

Joshua’s completed task was the elimination of thirty-one kings, their command and control structure, and most of their active forces.[26]  The record shows that Joshua left a considerable amount of work undone.[27]  Joshua established a peace that may have lasted ten years from 1406 to 1396, and possibly a little longer.

Dating

We have not yet located data for 14C dating of burned wheat at Hazor.  Statements such as “3,400 year-old wheat”[28] or “wheat from some 3,400 years ago”[29] are not really helpful.  We need to have access to the raw data to learn anything useful.  The number 3,400 could be calculated from the year of discovery, possibly 2012, in which case, this number would mean 1388 BC.  More likely 3,400 would be in relationship to the standard base of 1950, which yields a crude idea of 1450 BC.

Moreover, a great amount of wheat was found, so we can only hope that at least one-hundred random samples were taken and tested using the same sort of high precision equipment as was used at Jericho.  If we have one-hundred samples we expect a calculation of the mean, the standard error of the mean, and a report of the confidence interval at 95%.  The method and accuracy of equipment calibration would also be nice to know.  When all the known errors are added to standard error of the mean we begin to get a picture with which we can deal more exactly.

Because we are dealing with a mean and the standard error of the mean, the dates being evaluated must fall outside of the confidence interval.  Otherwise, there is no reason to believe that the biblical dating is not an accurate description of the events in question.

We’re not done yet.  Once the mean and its error-corrected confidence interval is known, it must still be calibrated against the INTCAL 13 calibration curve, the “wiggles”.  So, is the number 3,400 already calibrated, in which case it must look like 3,400 ± 200 or worse?  That’s equivalent to 1450 ± 200 or worse.  So any date lying between 1650 and 1250 cannot be demonstrated to be in error.  Since the dates 1406-1396 fit handily within this range there is no statistical reason to believe that Joshua did not attack and burn Hazor in 1406-1396.  Barack defeats Jabin in 1235 and that date is barely excluded by the data.  Based on the data received we are 95% confident that the burned wheat discovered at Hazor does not date from the age of Barack.

On the other hand, if the number 3,400 is not already calibrated the results would look more like 1650 ± 200 or worse: in other words 1850-1450.  Now we have a 95% confidence that both Joshua and Barak are excluded.

We must keep in mind that what this sort of statistic really means that in cases of this type we have 19:1 odds that 1406-1396 and 1235 dates are excluded.  We have learned some betting odds, but we no absolutely nothing about the specific instance at Hazor.

Our statistical calisthenics have established the mean behavior of average burned wheat; they say nothing about the behavior of an individual grain, less about the pot, and least about the adjacent wall.  Sorry folks, statistics just don’t work the way we intuitively want them to work.  So it all boils down to a bet and calculating the odds.

Lacking further detail, Ben-Tor has the better bet by far.  Our safe bet is that we are looking at pieces of Joshua’s walls at Hazor; elsewhere we have Omride features; just as Yadin dated them; and six chambered gates, just as Solomon designed them.  Elsewhere, we also have the remains of Barak’s destruction, we’re just not wise enough to sort them out.  Yet, it’s all here, mixed together in one site covering a span of history nearly one thousand years long or more (1850-884) and somebody actually expects us to sort that out using 14C dating on a handful of grain pots.

Let’s do some critical thinking here.  Where were these grain pots discovered?  Above that specific strata is most likely younger, and below that specific strata is most likely older, provided that the whole tell developed at the same rate.  Well, we already know that this is not the case, don’t we?  Hazor is a large place,[30] and parts of it fell into disuse, or otherwise developed at different rates.

Proposed destructions by Seti I (1290-1279) and Ramesses II (1279-1213), are both later than Joshua.  While not completely excluded by the 1650-1250 span, they are almost as unlikely as Barak in 1235.

Zuckerman Hypothesis

Does the Zuckerman hypothesis hold water?  What was discovered at Hazor?  There was “one archaeological stratum … shows signs of catastrophic fire….  evidence of violent destruction by burning….  a scorched palace from the 13th century BCE[31] in whose storerooms they found 3,400 year old ewers holding burned crops.”  Nobody disputes this evidence: it’s quite visible.

Again, some critical thinking is required.  As with the Chicago fire, once the blaze starts, the whole city burns to the ground.  Former residents watch helplessly as the whole site goes up in smoke.  Given their primitive firefighting capabilities there is nothing they can do except wring their hands in frustration.  We must not think of these people as ignorant, surely they understood the cost of fire.  Because of this extreme cost, the disgruntled residents of Hazor have very little motive to burn their own house and security down around their own ears.  It is very unlikely that they actually did so.  The Zuckerman hypothesis does not hold water.  Burning a city was an extreme measure, even for the invading Israelites: its only advantage was to delay a counterattack.

Conclusion

Why was such a supporting mass of information avoided or swept under the table?  There is no dispute over the facts as stated.  Ben-Tor’s logic is hard to refute.  So why is the battle described as blitzkrieg and posed out of reported chronological sequence?  If real evidence exists in the 14C dating of charred wheat for charred walls at Hazor, why not bring it out in the interests of science?  We have showed that the idea of blitzkrieg is an insulting caricature of the Israelites.  We have showed that the charred wheat does not establish the absence of Joshua at Hazor.  We have showed that both the Southern Campaign and the Northern Campaign were initiated by massive Amorite and Canaanite coalitions, and not by Joshua.  These coalitions freely chose to opt for war, rather than to sue for peace.  We have showed that while Joshua’s campaigns were very effective, they in no way represent a total annihilation of enemy forces: their focus is limited to thirty-one kings and their pivotal city-states.




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[2] Part of the dating for Hazor is prescribed by the Amarna letters.  According to the Egyptian chronology, Amarna is only an official capital from 1351-1334, during the reign of Amenhotep IV/Akhenaten.  If Yahweh made a believer out of some Egyptians in 1446, Akhenaten may have received his henotheism from his immediate ancestors.  In any case, if the Egyptian chronology is correct, seventeen years of Hazor’s vassalage to Egypt is fixed in time.  That vassalage is at least this large and doubtless much larger, so when Joshua attacks Hazor shortly after 1406, he is most likely attacking an Egyptian satellite state: according to the Amarna record, “EA 148 specifically reports that Hasura’s king had gone over to the Habiru, who were invading Canaan.”  This is too close to the Joshua and Judges chronology to escape our attention.  We have dated the first battle of Hazor at 1406-1396, and the second battle of Hazor at 1235, one-hundred-sixty-one to one-hundred-seventy-one years later.  If EA 148’s Hasura is identical to Jabin, and Habiru means Hebrews or Israelites, then we have strong evidence for the presence of Israelites as a powerful force in the Promised Land.  This evidence is at least as sound and as strong as the Merneptah Stele, so we wonder why it was not discussed.
There is no need to conflate the first and second battles of Hazor: for it is no more difficult to believe that two wars were fought against the same militarily strategic city over one-hundred-sixty years apart, than to believe that two wars were fought over Europe, only twenty-five years apart: WWI (1914), WWII (1939).  Hazor was very likely, the most strategically important city in the north, and it would make no sense at all if it were not immediately rebuilt, refortified, and reoccupied.
[3] Amnon Ben-Tor, a professor at Hebrew University of Jerusalem.  Works: Horvat Usa (1963), Tel Yarmuth (1970), Azor (1971), Athienou, Cyprus (1971-1972; with T. Dothan), Tel Qiri (1975-1976), Yoqne‘am (1977-1979; 1981; 1987-1988), Tel Qashish (1978-1979; 1981-1985; 1987), The Selz Foundation Hazor Excavations in Memory of Yigael Yadin (1990-present).  Ben-Tor’s observation is well taken.  Who did it?  By default Israel defeated both Jericho and Hazor.
[4] Sharon Zuckerman (1965-2014) little bibliography.  Works: Hazor.
[5] Tell el-Qedah is not to be confused with other sites with the common name of Hazor.  The Amarna letters are dated between 1388 and 1332.  This fits very well with Joshua defeating Jabin and his city and burning parts of it (Joshua 11:1), yet being unable to retain control and possession of it.  Hazor and Tells like Hazor were able to regain control under a successor, Jabin II, and recover with the help of their Egyptian and other allies (Judges 4; Psalm 83:9).  Little-by-little the Israelites were able to settle and reconquer the land.  In this process, most of the Israelites quickly compromised and politicized their religion.  Not until David, was this conquest completed in Judea (1010), and in the monarchy (1003).  Solomon later rebuilds and refortifies the city.
[7] Joshua Chapter 6, especially verses 20, 23, 24
[8] Joshua Chapters 7 and 8, especially verses 8:16-18, 19, 21, 24-27
[10] 1 Samuel 4:11 to 6:12
[11] 2 Samuel 6:1-19
[12] In the plains of Jordan, adjacent to Jericho, at an unknown location, possibly Khirbet en-Nitleh or Khirbet El Mafjir, Joshua 4:19; 5:10
[15] Joshua 10:28
[16] Joshua 10:29
[17] Joshua 10:31
[18] Joshua 10:33
[19] Joshua 10:34
[20] Joshua 10:36
[21] Joshua 10:38
[22] This concluding polygonal construct defines the general area of conquest.  Joshua 10:41
[23] Joshua 10:43
[24] Joshua 11:1-15
[25] Joshua 11:13
[26] Joshua 12:31
[27] Joshua 13:1
[30] This is an area in excess of 200 acres; in contrast one square mile, which is also called a section of land, and amounts to 640 acres.  So this is a little less than one-third of a section in area, or a rectangle about 0.3125 miles wide and 1.00 miles long, or a 0.559 miles square, or a circle 0.631 miles in diameter, or 193.6 football fields.  It is impossible to maintain uniform terrain over such a great area.  The upper city amounted to roughly 30 acres; while the lower city covered more than 175 acres.
[31] This is actually a considerable error.  The 14C dating centers on a 1450 date, which can only be made older by further calibration; the biblical date hinges on a 1406 date to possibly as early as 1396, which is barely four years into the fourteenth century.  Since both 1450 and 1406 are in the fifteenth century, this is what the statement should have been.  Doubtless the writer wanted to support a Ramesses II (1279-1213) Exodus and Conquest.  That being said, even the 1279 date is close to being eliminated by the 95% confidence interval 1650-1250.  It would have been necessary for Moses to confront Ramesses II in the first twenty-nine years of his sixty-six year reign rather than at the end of that reign as the narrative clearly shows.  A 1213 date is completely incompatible with the Hazor evidence, so unless the Ramesses II dates are completely in error, we are 95% confident that Ramesses II is not the pharaoh of either the Exodus or the Conquest.  The scorched wheat dates in the mid fifteenth century.
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